Republicans Stuck with Trump Ahead of Congress Elections as Pro-Israel Groups Mobilize

Ahead of the US midterm congressional elections, the Republican Party faces a dual challenge: maintaining its majority in the House and Senate while managing its close ties to Donald Trump, who, according to analysts, has turned these elections into a referendum on his own leadership. A senior Republican official told Axios that the party has no choice but to remain in the boat with him. However, Pew Research Center polls indicate that Democrats are leading among registered voters.

Meanwhile, pro-Israel groups are concerned about a potential shift in the balance of power in Congress and its impact on bilateral relations and Washington's aid to Tel Aviv. Norm Coleman, head of the Republican Jewish Coalition, has warned donors that a Democratic victory could alter Washington's approach to Israel. These concerns arise as polls show a decline in American public opinion regarding the Israeli government.

Divisions are also emerging within the Republican Party. A younger generation, influenced by the 'America First' rhetoric, has expressed skepticism regarding the military costs of supporting Israel, particularly following the war with Iran and rising energy prices. Nevertheless, traditional party leaders continue to defend the alliance.

Israel and its allies in the US are mobilizing the Republican base and seeking support from conservative Christian groups. Despite the Republicans' significant financial resources, the election outcome remains uncertain, and the polls appear to have become a test for the future of US foreign policy in the Middle East.